NHL Playoff Odds
Every team's chance to make the postseason, from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule. Click a team for its magic number card.
Eastern
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| Team | Playoffs % | Top 3 % | WC % | Div title % | Record | Proj. Pts | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes | 93.5% | 89.9% | 3.6% | 58.8% | 8-2-2 | 106 | Metropolitan |
| Boston Bruins | 93.1% | 84.0% | 9.1% | 50.5% | 8-2-1 | 107 | Atlantic |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 79.4% | 62.1% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 7-3-0 | 101 | Atlantic |
| New York Rangers | 71.3% | 61.8% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 7-4-1 | 98 | Metropolitan |
| Ottawa Senators | 65.8% | 43.3% | 22.5% | 10.4% | 7-4-0 | 98 | Atlantic |
| New York Islanders | 58.0% | 47.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5-3-2 | 96 | Metropolitan |
| New Jersey Devils | 56.7% | 45.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 6-4-0 | 95 | Metropolitan |
| Montréal Canadiens | 52.1% | 31.0% | 21.0% | 5.5% | 5-3-2 | 95 | Atlantic |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 50.6% | 29.0% | 21.6% | 5.2% | 6-4-2 | 95 | Atlantic |
| Washington Capitals | 47.1% | 36.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 5-4-0 | 93 | Metropolitan |
| Florida Panthers | 38.5% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 3.3% | 5-4-2 | 93 | Atlantic |
| Detroit Red Wings | 37.1% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 2.9% | 4-3-3 | 92 | Atlantic |
| Buffalo Sabres | 25.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 4-4-2 | 90 | Atlantic |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 4-6-1 | 85 | Metropolitan |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 3-5-0 | 84 | Metropolitan |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 3-6-3 | 83 | Metropolitan |
Western
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| Team | Playoffs % | Top 3 % | WC % | Div title % | Record | Proj. Pts | Division |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | 98.5% | 95.4% | 3.2% | 65.9% | 8-1-1 | 110 | Pacific |
| Seattle Kraken | 86.3% | 73.3% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 7-3-1 | 102 | Pacific |
| Vegas Golden Knights | 83.5% | 69.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 8-4-0 | 101 | Pacific |
| Minnesota Wild | 76.0% | 58.9% | 17.0% | 23.5% | 6-3-2 | 99 | Central |
| Utah Mammoth | 75.9% | 58.8% | 17.1% | 25.0% | 7-4-0 | 99 | Central |
| Dallas Stars | 74.3% | 57.3% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 6-3-1 | 99 | Central |
| San Jose Sharks | 65.1% | 44.4% | 20.7% | 5.3% | 6-4-1 | 97 | Pacific |
| Colorado Avalanche | 61.4% | 42.4% | 19.0% | 12.1% | 6-4-1 | 96 | Central |
| St. Louis Blues | 49.7% | 31.1% | 18.6% | 7.2% | 5-4-1 | 93 | Central |
| Winnipeg Jets | 48.1% | 29.7% | 18.5% | 6.5% | 4-3-3 | 93 | Central |
| Nashville Predators | 35.9% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 3.9% | 3-3-3 | 91 | Central |
| Los Angeles Kings | 16.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 0.3% | 2-4-2 | 86 | Pacific |
| Anaheim Ducks | 16.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 0.3% | 4-6-0 | 86 | Pacific |
| Calgary Flames | 8.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 0.1% | 3-6-0 | 82 | Pacific |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 3-7-0 | 80 | Central |
| Vancouver Canucks | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 2-9-1 | 73 | Pacific |
These odds come from 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule — regressed team strength, log5 head-to-head with home ice, overtime loser points, and the NHL's regulation-wins tiebreak order. "Top 3" is a division berth; "WC" a wild card. Full methodology in How It Works.
Last computed Oct 24, 10:53 UTC ·
10,000 simulations