NHL Playoff Odds

The NHL regular season is complete.

Playoff odds return at puck drop of the 2026–27 season in October. In the meantime, see the final standings and magic numbers.

How NHL playoff odds work

When the season is live, we simulate every remaining game thousands of times. Each team's strength comes from its points percentage regressed toward the league average, each game is decided by a head-to-head formula with home-ice advantage, and overtime is modeled so loser points are awarded realistically — an NHL quirk that pure win/loss models miss.

Every simulated season awards the top three spots in each division plus two wild cards per conference, with ties broken NHL-style (regulation wins, then regulation + overtime wins). The published percentage is how often each team made it across all simulated seasons.

Until then, the magic and tragic numbers cover the part of the race that's mathematically certain.