Sports Magic Numbers
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San Diego Padres (SD)

National League – West • Record: 52-53 (0.495)
Race:

Seed Chasing Arizona Diamondbacks for a wild card spot (3 game(s) back)
Numbers Magic path: chasing wild card — 11 rivals contending for 3 spots
Magic # 58
Tragic # 55
Playoff odds 15.8%
Division 0.0% • Wild card 15.8%
Full league odds →
Magic counts down to clinching — drops as you win or bubble teams lose.
Tragic counts down to elimination — drops as you lose or the chaser wins.

Playoff pace

On pace for 80 wins • typical playoff line ≈ 86 wins
Line = final wins of each season's last team in, averaged over the past 4 seasons.
-6 behind the line

Tonight's rooting guide


Live rooting guide — it updates as games go final, so items may disappear.
Showing remaining games that can still affect your numbers.
Your game
  • If San Diego Padres beat Miami Marlins tonight, your Magic number -1.
    Magic -1
  • If San Diego Padres lose to Miami Marlins tonight, your Magic number -1 and your Tragic number -1.
    Magic -1Tragic -1

What-if explorer

Drag the sliders — the numbers recalculate instantly using the site's real playoff math.
If San Diego Padres go 5-5 while Arizona Diamondbacks go 5-5:
Magic # 58 → 48Magic -10 Tragic # 55 → 45Tragic -10
Assumes these games come against teams outside your race; every other rival's record stays as-is.

Draft lottery outlook

If the season ended today: lottery seed No. 14 — a 0.8% chance at the No. 1 pick and an expected pick of 13.5.

Full draft order & lottery simulator →

Frequently asked questions

What is the San Diego Padres magic number right now?

The San Diego Padres magic number is currently 58. Any combination of San Diego Padres wins and losses by the team chasing them that adds up to 58 clinches a playoff spot.

What is the San Diego Padres elimination number?

The San Diego Padres elimination number is 55. When it hits 0 the team is mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. It shrinks when the San Diego Padres lose or when the team chasing them gains ground.

What are the San Diego Padres playoff odds?

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule, the San Diego Padres make the playoffs in about 15.8% of outcomes.

What is a magic number in baseball?

A magic number is the combined total of team wins and chasing-team losses that guarantees a playoff spot. When it reaches 0, the spot is clinched no matter what happens in the remaining games.

When did the San Diego Padres last make the playoffs?

The San Diego Padres last made the MLB playoffs in 2025 — the most recently completed season.

When did the San Diego Padres last win the World Series?

The San Diego Padres have never won the World Series.

How often are these numbers updated?

Standings and magic numbers on Sports Magic Numbers refresh throughout the day and after every MLB game, so the numbers here reflect the live playoff race.

Full guide: how magic numbers work →