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Tampa Bay Lightning (TBL)

Eastern – Atlantic • Record: 7-3-0 (PTS 14)
Holding Atlantic #2 — trying to stay ahead of Ottawa Senators (next in Atlantic)
Magic # 146
Tragic # 151
On pace for 118 points • playoff line ≈ 97 points
+21 ahead of the line
Playoff odds 79.4%
Top 3 in division 62.1% • Wild card 17.3% • Division title 20.7%
Full league odds →
Can't clinch for at least 37 more games. Can't be eliminated for at least 38 more games. Scenarios →

Tonight’s rooting guide


Live rooting guide — it updates as games go final, so items may disappear.
Showing remaining games that can still affect your numbers.
Your game
  • If Tampa Bay Lightning beat Utah Mammoth in regulation tonight, your Magic number -2.
    Magic -2
  • If Tampa Bay Lightning beat Utah Mammoth in OT/SO tonight, your Magic number -2.
    Magic -2
  • If Tampa Bay Lightning lose to Utah Mammoth in regulation tonight, your Tragic number -2.
    Tragic -2
  • If Tampa Bay Lightning lose to Utah Mammoth in OT/SO tonight, your Magic number -1 and your Tragic number -1.
    Magic -1Tragic -1
Dig deeper: what-if explorer

What-if explorer

Drag the sliders — the numbers recalculate instantly using the site's real playoff math.
If Tampa Bay Lightning go 7-3-0 while Ottawa Senators go 6-4:
Magic # 146 → 129Magic -17 Tragic # 151 → 145Tragic -6
Assumes these games come against teams outside your race; every other rival's record stays as-is.
Frequently asked questions

What is the Tampa Bay Lightning magic number right now?

The Tampa Bay Lightning magic number is currently 146. Any combination of Tampa Bay Lightning points and losses by the team chasing them that adds up to 146 clinches a playoff spot.

What is the Tampa Bay Lightning tragic number?

The Tampa Bay Lightning tragic number is 151. When it hits 0 the team is mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. It shrinks when the Tampa Bay Lightning lose or when the team chasing them gains ground.

What are the Tampa Bay Lightning playoff odds?

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule, the Tampa Bay Lightning make the playoffs in about 79.4% of outcomes.

What is a magic number in hockey?

A magic number is the combined total of points a team must earn (and its closest chaser must fail to earn) to guarantee a playoff spot. In the NHL it counts standings points, since wins are worth 2 points and overtime losses 1.

When did the Tampa Bay Lightning last make the playoffs?

The Tampa Bay Lightning last made the NHL playoffs in 2025-26 — the most recently completed season.

When did the Tampa Bay Lightning last win the Stanley Cup?

The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 3 Stanley Cup titles, most recently in 2020-21.

How often are these numbers updated?

Standings and magic numbers on Sports Magic Numbers refresh throughout the day and after every NHL game, so the numbers here reflect the live playoff race.

Full guide: how magic numbers work →