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Toronto Maple Leafs (TOR)

Eastern – Atlantic • Record: 6-4-2 (PTS 14)
Holding a wild card spot — Montréal Canadiens is the first team out
Magic # 145
Tragic # 147
On pace for 98 points • playoff line ≈ 97 points
+1 ahead of the line
Playoff odds 50.6%
Top 3 in division 29.0% • Wild card 21.6% • Division title 5.2%
Full league odds →
Can't clinch for at least 37 more games. Can't be eliminated for at least 37 more games. Scenarios →

Tonight’s rooting guide


Live rooting guide — it updates as games go final, so items may disappear.
Showing remaining games that can still affect your numbers.
Your game
  • If Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers in regulation tonight, your Magic number -2.
    Magic -2
  • If Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers in OT/SO tonight, your Magic number -2.
    Magic -2
  • If Toronto Maple Leafs lose to Edmonton Oilers in regulation tonight, your Tragic number -2.
    Tragic -2
  • If Toronto Maple Leafs lose to Edmonton Oilers in OT/SO tonight, your Magic number -1 and your Tragic number -1.
    Magic -1Tragic -1
Dig deeper: what-if explorer

What-if explorer

Drag the sliders — the numbers recalculate instantly using the site's real playoff math.
If Toronto Maple Leafs go 5-5-0 while Montréal Canadiens go 5-5:
Magic # 145 → 125Magic -10 Tragic # 147 → 135Tragic -12
Assumes these games come against teams outside your race; every other rival's record stays as-is.
Frequently asked questions

What is the Toronto Maple Leafs magic number right now?

The Toronto Maple Leafs magic number is currently 145. Any combination of Toronto Maple Leafs points and losses by the team chasing them that adds up to 145 clinches a playoff spot.

What is the Toronto Maple Leafs tragic number?

The Toronto Maple Leafs tragic number is 147. When it hits 0 the team is mathematically eliminated from playoff contention. It shrinks when the Toronto Maple Leafs lose or when the team chasing them gains ground.

What are the Toronto Maple Leafs playoff odds?

Based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining schedule, the Toronto Maple Leafs make the playoffs in about 50.6% of outcomes.

What is a magic number in hockey?

A magic number is the combined total of points a team must earn (and its closest chaser must fail to earn) to guarantee a playoff spot. In the NHL it counts standings points, since wins are worth 2 points and overtime losses 1.

When did the Toronto Maple Leafs last make the playoffs?

The Toronto Maple Leafs last made the NHL playoffs in 2024-25, missing the postseason once since.

When did the Toronto Maple Leafs last win the Stanley Cup?

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 13 Stanley Cup titles, most recently in 1966-67.

How often are these numbers updated?

Standings and magic numbers on Sports Magic Numbers refresh throughout the day and after every NHL game, so the numbers here reflect the live playoff race.

Full guide: how magic numbers work →